Showing posts with label Serie A prediction. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Serie A prediction. Show all posts

Monday, November 19, 2012

Bet studying



West Ham - Stoke 2.10 - 4.12

A bit weakened defensively West Ham had no major problems preventing the Newcastle strikers from scoring against them. Will they be as effective stopping P Crouch? Well Crouch and his Stoke have been surprisingly quiet this season and although they defeated QPR 1-0 they were far from convincing. Coach Pulis had changed his formation, but according to unanimous reports QPR were the better side at the Britannia Stadium. Pulis will easily accept that verdict, as Stoke got their all important three points.
West Ham, mostly convincing this season, up against a Stoke side less impressive than last season and one has to say that the home win alternative looks much more attractive.
West Ham have quite a few injury concerns, as M Jarvis, Benayoun and G McCartney all had to leave the match with injuries last week. M Maiga, O’Neil and G Demel did just fine replacing the trio. It looks worst for McCartney at this moment. J Collins will probably be back in the home defence. Stoke miss the suspended D Whitehead. I would pick the home win.

Roma - Torino 1.63 - 5.70

De Rossi, Burdisso and Tachtsidis will all be suspended for the home side, De Rossi is doing nothing very good for his Roma these days. I would off load him and get some fantastic money in the process.
Do not underestimate Torino in their away fixtures. They remain unbeaten with 1-5-0 this far. Why, oh why should Roma be 1.63 favourites in this game? Important Torino defender Ogbonna is expected back for this game. I usually say there will be four or five goals whenever Roma are involved, but maybe not on Sunday. Only three- four this time.

Sunday, November 18, 2012

Betting trends


Bordeaux - Marseille 2.40 - 3.51

Backing Bordeaux. They are 4-2-0 in their home games and they have in fact only lost one league game this season. Last week they went to Lorient and returned home with a 4-0 win in their bag.
Marseille played two home games last week vs. Borussia M. and Nice and both the matches ended in 2-2 draws, with Marseille conceding late equalisers in both games. Marseille have offensive worries ahead of this top game as their three central forwards Gignac, L Remy and J Ayew are all out of this fixture. Quite possible that they will play without a forward starting with their midfielder A Ayew in a frontal position, 19 year old Omrani is another option.
Marseille have not won this fixture for some 35 years and it will tough for them also this season. Bordeaux to win.

Fulham - Sunderland 1.79 - 5.20

It was odd watching Fulham against Arsenal thinking for myself that Fulham were playing the better, the more entertaining football. D Duff was kept on the bench for most of the game and K Richardson suffered an injury and he will be missing for a while. C Baird will be suspended this weekend.
Strong first half display from Sunderland away to Everton and for once their hard work was rewarded with a goal. It was not enough to win the match, with Everton hitting back late on in the game, but one has to say that Sunderland offered an improved performance. Sessegnon missed a great chance, but so far it does not seem to work for the Frenchman. No C Gardner for Sunderland and they risk being without L Cattermole and P Bardsley again. Front man S Fletcher is a doubt. I have nothing negative to say about Fulham. I just think the home win is hugely underpriced. Quite unbackable.

West Ham - Stoke 2.10 - 4.12

A bit weakened defensively West Ham had no major problems preventing the Newcastle strikers from scoring against them. Will they be as effective stopping P Crouch? Well Crouch and his Stoke have been surprisingly quiet this season and although they defeated QPR 1-0 they were far from convincing. Coach Pulis had changed his formation, but according to unanimous reports QPR were the better side at the Britannia Stadium. Pulis will easily accept that verdict, as Stoke got their all important three points.
West Ham, mostly convincing this season, up against a Stoke side less impressive than last season and one has to say that the home win alternative looks much more attractive.
West Ham have quite a few injury concerns, as M Jarvis, Benayoun and G McCartney all had to leave the match with injuries last week. M Maiga, O’Neil and G Demel did just fine replacing the trio. It looks worst for McCartney at this moment. J Collins will probably be back in the home defence. Stoke miss the suspended D Whitehead. I would pick the home win.

Bologna - Palermo 2.30 - 3.51

Seems like Bologna are almost always in with a chance in their games, but they go on losing them by the odd goal. They are very much in the drop zone and they absolutely have to defeat Palermo, usually very poor travellers. Will they do it? Well, Palermo are feeling much better at the moment after their incredibly important win against Sampdoria. A new Palermo star was born and his name is Dybala. Miccoli will probably have to wait till next week for his come back.
Diamanti, Gabbiadini and Gilardino will play from the start in the Bologna front line in this must win game. I like to think that Bologna will edge this one.

Catania - Chievo 1.95 - 4.78

Backing the Sicilians. Chievo are 0-0-5 away from home and as you know by now I almost always back Catania down in Sicily.
Bergessio will most likely be back for Catania, but he will probably start on the bench. Doukara could start again. Almiron will be fit to play.
Chievo miss the suspended L Rigoni and the injured duo Papp and Frey. Cesar will be OK. Catania to win.

Fiorentina - Atalanta 1.62 - 7.00

Fantastic season for Fiorentina and by now it is obvious that “ the little Aeroplane”, Montella is a very talented coach. First Catania last season and now his work with Fiorentina. Jovetic will probably be missing also this weekend and Toni will be joined by Ljajic or El Hamdaoui upfront.
Parra and Peluso will be suspended for Atalanta, a team playing their season best football. Brivio will com in for Peluso. So Fiorentina (5-1-0) should probably win this match, but the odds on the home win are too short, at least in my opinion.

Inter - Cagliari 1.60 - 6.96

I underestimated the Inter defensive shortcomings away to Atalanta. Missing both Samuel and Ranocchia proved crucial, as for example Silvestre endured a terrible evening. Same again, or their coach will change his formation, but still no Samuel or Ranocchia. Now also Guarin will miss this match and he has been in great form lately.
The Cagliari – Catania fixture was a drab affair and I have nothing really positive to say about the Cagliari display in that game. Squad wise Cagliari look very much OK, with only their defender Ariaudo once again a major doubt. Home win for Inter, I guess.

Roma - Torino 1.63 - 5.70

De Rossi, Burdisso and Tachtsidis will all be suspended for the home side, De Rossi is doing nothing very good for his Roma these days. I would off load him and get some fantastic money in the process.
Do not underestimate Torino in their away fixtures. They remain unbeaten with 1-5-0 this far. Why, oh why should Roma be 1.63 favourites in this game? Important Torino defender Ogbonna is expected back for this game. I usually say there will be four or five goals whenever Roma are involved, but maybe not on Sunday. Only three- four this time.

Sampdoria - Genoa 2.49 - 3.34

The big derby of the weekend, but unfortunately both clubs are more or less in dire straits at the moment, or worse than that, if it is possible. The Sampdoria coach must be hanging on the ropes after an endless winless run and Delneri, the new Genoa coach, has been defeated in all his four games for Genoa.
Good news for Genoa as both their key players Borriello and Rossi will be back for this game and at least Borriello will play from the start. Still no Maxi Lopez for Sampdoria, no Eder either, but Poli and Krsticic will be available again. I prefer the away win alternative.

Siena - Pescara 1.80 - 5.50

I cannot do much to change the odds, but surely this match should end in a home win for Siena. Both Rosina and Rodriguez will be back in contention for this game. They were both missing at the weekend when Siena were happy drawing 0-0 at Parma. Paci will definitely be missing.
Pescara conceded six goals in their home fixture against Juventus and how do you recover from this, their most recent set back? Well facts remain and Pescara are on the right side of the relegation zone, while Siena are very much down there (They have been deducted six points).
Pescara probably have to manage without their leading scorer in Serie A, Weiss, joining Terlizzi, Blasi and Colucci on the sidelines. Vukusic or Jonathas will play alongside Abbruscato in their front line. Very likely home win.

Udinese - Parma 2.21 - 3.75

Udinese are not winning too many games this season, with 3-6-3 after twelve league games. Parma have won a third of their twelve matches and the draw in this match is always very likely. Add Lazzari to the Udinese injury list and their defender Danilo will be suspended for this game.
No Biabiany for Parma due to a suspension, but Valdes will be available. One of Pabon, Sansone or Belfodil will come in for Biabiany upfront together with Amauri. 1X game.

Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Serie A Prediction 31/10/12


Atalanta - Napoli 4.00 - 2.21

Both Cigarini and Peluso will be suspended for the home side. Brivio will most likely replace Peluso in their defence, but it is unclear who will come in for Cigarini in the midfield. Bellini, Carmona and Biondini are all available again. Down to ten men in the second half Atalanta managed to keep Pescara from scoring at the weekend (0-0). There is nothing great abut this Atalanta side but they are almost always doing a decent job. Well, not against Torino, not so long ago (1-5 home loss).
Napoli hope to have Cavani back tomorrow, but there is no guarantee. He did not play against Chievo the other day and it showed. Zuniga will miss this fixture, but Britos is back in their squad. No Cavani for Napoli and Atalanta may get their draw. X2 game.

Cagliari - Siena 2.10 - 4.90

The new Cagliari coach has won three games on the trot with his team. He is a defensive coach and Cagliari keep on winning their matches 1-0. Once again it looks like Cagliari will miss Pinilla, but their play maker Cossu is fit again.
Siena were terrible at home to Palermo, or they defended well. I say they were terrible and their coach praises their defence. Defending at home to Palermo, give me a break! Rosina and Campagnolo are not included in their squad, but Felipe is. Backing the home win.

Chievo - Pescara 1.80 - 5.50

Decent Chievo effort against Napoli and as they are facing this rather hopeless Pescara side in Verona there is every chance that this fixture will end with a home win. These sides are on the same points but I hold Chievo as the much better side. Vacek will be suspended for the home side. Blasi will return to the Pescara squad, but they are still missing Jonathas, Terlizzi and Crescenzi.
The game was there to be taken for Pescara at home to Atalanta. Pescara had been the stronger side in the first half and when Atalanta instantly were down to ten men in the second half I expected the home side to decide the match. They were poor, again I must say.
The home win!

Genoa - Fiorentina 3.46 - 2.40

Fiorentina, winless away from home, as the favourites? It does not look right. Pizarro will be back in the Fiorentina midfield for this game and Roncaglia will also return.
Genoa are still missing among others Borriello and Rossi, but defender Canini will be back for this match and Jankovic should be fit to play.
Delneri suffered a defeat in his first game as the Genoa coach and his offensive options are a bit limited with Borriello out of action. Immobile possibly backed up by Jorquera in their front line.
Fiorentina have not been too enterprising in their away games this far and in my mind there are three possible results on Thursday. 0-0, 0-1 or 1-1.

Inter - Sampdoria 1.57 - 8.15

Inter are the away champions in Serie A, having won all their five away fixtures. The Inter overall form is excellent and they must be expected to win this match. Juan Jesus, one of their best players against Bologna, will be suspended tomorrow.
Sampdoria are on a negative run with four losses on the bounce. They will have players back for this game. Romero, Munari and Da Costa will be back in contention along with Castellini. Hopefully also Obiang, but Maresca and Pozzi will be missing and leading striker Maxi Lopez is also in danger of miss out tomorrow. Likely home win, but the odds you can do without.

Juventus - Bologna 1.27 - 16.02

What a disastrous weekend for referees both here and there. Biggest mistake was made by a linesman when Catania scored a legitimate goal against Juventus. The scorer was on side with a meter and the poor fellow blew for offside. It is almost Juventus in the mix. Last season Milan scored a second goal against Juventus, it was over the line with half a meter, but it was disallowed.
Juventus were better than Catania, but Catania in the 1-0 lead are an altogether different side playing the counter attacking game to perfection. The home side will be without the suspended Vidal with Pogba his replacement. Caceres will probably come in for Lichtsteiner.
Bologna, dropping steadily in the table, will miss their important play maker Diamanti. What more to say. Home win of course.

Lazio - Torino 1.79 - 5.65

Another side treated badly by the officials was this Lazio side. They scored a perfect goal against Fiorentina, but it was offside according to the referee. Several of the Lazio players lost their temper later on in Florens and both Hernanez and Ledesma were shown the red card. Hernanez, probably the best Lazio player this season, will of course be suspended tomorrow along with Ledesma, but his absence I can take. No Marchetti in their goal. Brocchi and/or Onazi could earn starting roles in the middle of the park.
Would you believe the newcomers Torino remain unbeaten on their travels (1-3-0). They will hopefully be able to call on Ogbonna again, but Sansone will definitely be missing due to a suspension. Sgrigna or Meggiorini will replace Sansone. Ogbonna is still touch and go. I prefer the home win alternative.

Parma - Roma 3.00 - 2.41

I would have Parma as favourites in this game. Donadoni’s side are unbeaten at home (2-2-0) and they won their first away game of the season at the weekend defeating Torino 3-1 after an impressive display.
There is no way to come to terms with Zeman’s Roma. In the lead 2-0 or down 0-2 in their matches, it does not seem to matter. Their young players, a couple playing rather poorly, will make mistakes, especially in their own box and Roma have to score at least three goals to win their matches. One of their worst players against Udinese, Tachtisidis, will be suspended for this game and Balzaretti risks missing also this match. Mirante will stand between the Parma sticks again. Home win, say 3-2.

Udinese - Catania 1.95 - 4.62

On another day Di Natale would have scored more goals against Roma. He missed some clear cut chances, but at the end of the day he won the match for Udinese. Defender Danilo will return from his suspension tomorrow and his colleague Basta could also be back. Benatia, Pasquale, Pinzi and Muriel remain on the sidelines.
I have already talked about the Catania bad luck and for this match they have to manage without the suspended duo Marchese and Legrottaglie. Bellusci will hopefully be fit joining Spolli in their central defence. I prefer the odds on the home win.

Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Serie A Prediction



Palermo - Milan 3.15 - 2.50

Two straight 0-0 draws for Palermo. I watched their game away to Siena at the weekend and it was an utterly boring affair, but saying that I must add that Palermo were clearly the better side. Says a lot about Siena, does it not? Miccoli should have scored for Palermo, but it was not to be. Bertolo and Munoz are slight injury doubts, but they will probably be OK.
Milan defeated a weakened Genoa side 1-0, with their winning goal arrived late in the game. Milan deserved the three points and El Sharaawy scored their goal. Abbiati could be back in the Milan goal, Muntari is recalled to their squad, but Boateng and Antonini will be missing this time. These days Milan are playing with a three man defence. Pato or Pazzini upfront. I prefer the away win alternative.

Saturday, October 27, 2012

Soccer prediction 27/10/2012


Lille - Valenciennes 1.65 - 7.00

My pick will be the outsider. Lille are the better side? Of course they are, when they are in form, that is. At the moment Valenciennes look the stronger side and they are four points ahead of Lille in the league table.
The away side will also this week miss the injured duo Mater and Nery. Time for Pujol to play some part for Valenciennes. The striker has been injured this season. Another striker, Le Tallec should be OK to play.
Lille played against Bayern Munich earlier this week and they suffered their third straight Champions League defeat. So far it is not working for Lille this season, pure lucky drawing at Bordeaux last week. Basa, Mavuba and Gueye are major injury doubts. Form beats class, hopefully.

Arsenal - Q P R 1.40 - 9.50

A Ferdinand and Onuoha came on as late substitutes for QPR last week and defensively QPR are beginning to look sound again. What they need right now is a win, any kind of win, to kick start their stumbling season. If I compare the QPR squad to the likes of Wigan, Reading, Southampton, Norwich and so on, no way they ought to be behind these sides in the league table. QPR need a lucky break, but will it happen tomorrow?
Quite amazing how the Arsenal season so quickly turned sour. I have seen them playing two games in four days, against Norwich and Schalke, and they have not really produced a single scoring chance. Half chances, yes, but no open ones. Sagna could be back for this match, maybe also Oxlade-Chamberlain, J Wilshere on the bench, but it is too early for Walcott and Diaby. As Arsenal so clearly have lost all their confidence I can see QPR causing an upset in this London derby. Something on the away win.

Aston Villa - Norwich 1.95 - 4.30

Trying to write something about this fixture the name of Paul Lambert constantly pops up in my mind. It was Lambert who brought Norwich to the Premiership after some barren years and it was Lambert who coached Norwich last season. Their come back season was a success, but it did not stop Lambert from leaving Norwich for Aston Villa. Lambert’s Villa have struggled so far, one win and only six goals scored.
Not that Norwich have done any better, but their league win arrived last week and it was their best performance of the season, 1-0 against Arsenal. Grant Holt has woken up from his early season slumber and there is always hope when Holt is on fire. R Snodgrass could be back for the home side.
N Baker, the Villa centre half is struggling with an injury and he will be assessed tonight. Lowton is ready to fill in for Baker. C Clark is also an injury doubt. Lambert knows everything there is to know about Holt and his Norwich colleagues and at the end of day I expect Villa to win this fixture, 1-0 or 2-0 home win.

Chelsea - Manchester Utd 2.47 - 3.25

It was tough for Chelsea in Ukraine. The speedy Shaktar players came in wave after wave and Chelsea really should have lost with more than the one goal (1-2). J Terry and F Lampard will miss this game, but that is OK. Chelsea will be able to field the same starting eleven that impressed hugely against Tottenham a week ago. Lampard is no good in a game like this one.
R Ferdinand and Evra will most likely return to the United defence. Kagawa will miss the match, but he can be replaced, as both Valencia and A Young are available again. So a better looking United defence for this match than against Braga, but my call in this fixture will be the home win.

Everton - Liverpool 2.76 - 2.76

In my world I would have Everton as 2.30 favourites in the derby. OK, it is not perfect for Everton to be missing both Fellaini and Pienaar, but they play better, more effective football than Liverpool, at least this far. Yes, they have six more points than Liverpool. Reports are now saying there is a chance that Fellaini will recover for this match and the same goes for D Gibson.
If you put the Liverpool 5-2 win against Norwich aside you have to say that they are close to harmless. Their fixture list has not exactly been the toughest one, but all they mustered in their two recent home games vs. Stoke and Reading was the one goal.
Liverpool fielded a surprisingly strong squad against Anzhi last night only changing their line up on three positions. Advantage Everton on Sunday? Derby game, anything may happen red cards and the rest, but my call will be the home win.

Manchester City - Swansea 1.25 - 15.00

I guess the City coach Mancini is thinking to himself: thank God for the Premiership. He knows how to play City in this league, but obviously he has not the necessary know how for the European circuit. This I can state now after a string of lacklustre City displays in Europe.
The question must be asked. Will the owners accept the Mancini shortcomings? J Milner will be suspended for this game and it is probably too early for D Silva.
Swansea will play their customary passing game and it may take a while for City to get the upper hand in this match. There is talk about mutiny in the Man City dressing room and I would never touch this 1.25 on the home win.

Newcastle - W B A 2.01 - 4.00

Decent odds on the home win, or is it just my old head talking? If nothing else it was easy to see that Newcastle were better than Sunderland in the northern derby and no way that they would have dropped any points if Tiote has stayed on the pitch. Newcastle look strong and their defensive worries are over for the moment. No Tiote on Sunday.
Maybe the WBA coach has some regrets after their loss against Man City. He should have played with Lukaku earlier in the game and the loss would probably had been avoided. I have nothing negative to say about this WBA side. It is just that I think that Newcastle are a better footballing side. Home winner.

Reading - Fulham 2.93 - 2.60

Time for the first Reading three pointer? Why not! You can always reason with Fulham on their travels and rest assured that the Reading players will be extremely fired up for this game. In their last home fixture they dominated against Newcastle, but had to settle for a 2-2 draw. Next came a 2-2 draw at Swansea followed up by their 0-1 loss against Liverpool at Anfield. There is every reason to believe that Reading will offer a strong home display tomorrow. Noel Hunt will be ready again for the home side.
Duff will be back in contention for Fulham, maybe also B Ruiz. Fulham are unbeaten in their last four games, including two away fixtures, at Wigan (2-1) and Southampton (2-2).
They score on a regular basis these days and I will absolutely include the over alternative in this fixture. Home win and over game will be my two calls.

Southampton - Tottenham 4.35 - 1.90

Not too much to say about Southampton. If they do not strengthen their defensive line they will go on losing football games, it is as simple as that. Then they need R Lambert playing from the start. He is their main danger man, but he was kept on the bench during the first hour of their game against West Ham.
Finding out that Tottenham were missing both G Bale and Dembele gave at least this writer only one option, Chelsea had to be backed. Spurs without Bale are not the same, but in this game against Chelsea their defence, and especially Gallas was a big disappointment. G Bale will be back for this match and quite possible that both Adebayor and Dembele will also return. Away win and over game.

Stoke - Sunderland 2.10 - 4.37

Not the kind of football game that I would choose to watch. An old fashioned game of English football at the Britannia Stadium and the winners will be the side that are most efficient at using the different dead ball situations.
Sounds like Stoke will grab the three points. G Whelan will be back in contention for Stoke.
Stoke are unbeaten at their stadium, while Sunderland have drawn three of their four away fixtures. I was not impressed by the Sunderland display in the derby. Where was the creativity? Sunderland play like that, get the ball into the penalty area as soon as possible and hope for the best, a bit like Stoke actually. L Cattermole will play/fight again for Sunderland. I prefer the home win.

Wigan - West Ham 2.37 - 3.33

Quoting a great Bob Dylan song: “It is not dark yet, but it is getting there.” I am thinking about Wigan and the fact they are winless in their last five games. In fact their only win was early season away to Southampton.
They were certainly not miles away from getting something from their visit to Swansea, but they ended up losing the game 1-2. They will be unchanged for this match, while defender O’Brien will be back bolstering the West Ham defence.
Different world altogether for West Ham with 4-2-2 after eight rounds of league football. Maybe Wigan can draw some comfort from the fact that West Ham so far have produced less effective football on their travels, but still, they won their last away game, if you can call a fixture at the Loftus Road an away game for West Ham. A draw is all that Wigan will manage tomorrow.

Barnsley – Nottingham Forrest 2.92 - 2.54

Away win will be my choice. Short trip for Nottingham. Should be like a derby, but I would not know. Nottingham are one of the better sides in this division, but they have drawn too many games this far. In midweek they visited Blackpool and managed to draw the match 2-2. It was a good result, at least in my opinion.
Nottingham have three very useful strikers, B Sharp, S Cox and D Blackstock and it was Blackstock who scored their equaliser against Blackpool coming on as a late substitute. Defender Ayala is considered a major doubt for this match and Guedioura will complete his suspension this weekend.
Barnsley are forced to play without their leading striker C Davies (7 goals). His partner C Dagnall was replaced after 17 minutes against Crystal Palace, but why, I do not know. Suffice to say that Barnsley will be weakened offensively for this match. Backing Nottingham.

Espanyol - Malaga 3.00 - 2.58

I will back Espanyol also this week. Their 3-2 win against Vallecano last week, first win of the season, was far from convincing. Still Espanyol had their all important win and I expect a better, more relaxed Espanyol performance tomorrow.
Their defender Colotto will be suspended for this match and Javi Lopez, midfielder, will not be fit to play. Stuani came on for Lopez last week scoring the winning goal for Espanyol. We will absolutely see more of Sergio Garcia, but Albin and Mattioni remain on the sidelines.
Malaga won again in Europe, this time against Milan. Their win was totally in order. Joaquin missed a penalty late in the first half. There is no way that Malaga will be at their best in this match. I have seen it so many times before, how new sides playing in the Champions League will suffer in the league. It has not happened yet for Malaga, but surely their rather small squad will be stretched at the moment. Espanyol to win.

Bologna - Inter 3.90 - 2.19

It was close but Bologna should not have too many complaints about their 0-1 loss away to Cagliari. They will probably be unchanged for this match with both Aquafresca and Gimenez sidelined. Diamanti will hopefully, for Bologna, make it possible for Gilardino to find the Inter goal. Inter go on missing Sneijder.
Four wins on the bounce for Inter, while Bologna are going through a very lean period. They had this great win at home to Catania, but before and after they have achieved practically nothing. Likely away win.

Catania -. Juventus 5.40 - 1.74

Potential banana skin number two for Juventus this week. Number one was in Denmark against Nordsjälland (1-1). Juventus dominated against the Danes, but they lacked the necessary sharpness, or they were not creative enough?
Catania are certainly no pushovers down in Sicily. They are 3-1-0 this far at their own place and they fear no team there.
Lichtsteiner, Asamoah and Vucinic will most likely start for Juventus this time. Another draw for Juventus!

Fiorentina - Lazio 2.25 - 3.62

Aquilani and Llama are at last back in training for Fiorentina, but for this match they have to manage without the suspended Pizarro and Roncaglia. Luca Toni will play alongside Jovetic in their front line and Cuadrado and Olivera will play in their midfield together with M Fernandez, Borja Valero and Pasquale. Marchetti, the Lazio first choice keeper, will miss this game.
Fiorentina are 3-1-0 in their home games and they have only conceded one goal in their home fixtures. At the same time Lazio have been surprisingly strong in their away fixtures (3-0-1 so far). A draw and every one will be reasonably happy.

Milan - Genoa 1.57 - 8.00

Must be a great side Milan, as low priced as 1.57 against Genoa. The bookies seem to know what I know. Genoa have to manage without Borriello, Jorquera and Canini, all in action last week. Rossi, Ferronetti and Vargas will be absent again.
New Genoa coach, Delneri, and this will be his first game in charge. He will probably use a 4-4-4-1-1 formation with Bertolacci supporting Immobile upfront.
Abbiati and Boateng could be back for Milan. Milan should win this match, but the odds are unacceptable.

Napoli - Chievo 1.42 - 9.49

For long periods Napoli were absolutely as strong as Juventus last week, but the many offensive options available for Juventus decided the match in favour of the league leaders.
Pelissier was not fit to play for Chievo last week, but for this match he will be back along with Cruzado. Andreolli will start in their defence with both Cesar and Sardo out injured.
Cavani, Pandev, Hamsik and Maggio, among others, did not play, or only played a few minutes when Napoli went down to Dnipro in Europe last night. Home win, I guess.

Pescara - Atalanta 3.01 - 2.62

It is difficult for me. I have given up on Pescara and I never trust them to be on the winning side. I was not surprised that ten man Udinese proved too strong for Pescara last week. No Blasi for Pescara in this match, but Colucci should return. Quintero and Crescenzi risk missing this match.
Crucial win for an injury plagued Atalanta side against Siena. Carmona will be suspended for this game. He was red carded sitting on the bench. As I just said, I never seem to trust Pescara, but I must admit, this match looks winnable for the newcomers. Home win?

Roma - Udinese 1.62 - 6.11

Fantastic offensive football by Roma against Genoa. They just attacked with their entire team down 0-2 and it was a joy to watch their optimistic football. There were never any doubts, just keep on attacking. Totti played a big part in their 4-2 win. Same again? Well Destro has recovered from his injury, but both Totti and Balzaretti are major injury doubts.
Udinese miss Danilo, Basta, Pasquale, Pinzi and Muriel. Too short odds on the home win.

Sampdoria - Cagliari 2.25 - 3.80

Gastaldello, Sampdoria defender, will be back for this match, but his defensive colleague A Costa will serve his suspension this week and their keeper Romero as well. Pozzi and Krsticic will not be available, but hopefully Obiang and/or Poli will return.
Cagliari will once again miss Cossu and Pinilla. A Ekdal was their best player against Bologna and it has been a pleasant surprise to see his rapid improvement lately. 1X game.

Siena - Palermo 2.32 - 3.57

Rodriguez, the midfielder, is new on the Siena injury list, but Ze Eduardo will be available again. Rosina and Campagnolo are injured, but there is still hope that Rosina will recover for this fixture.
Miccoli and Brienza should return for Palermo. In other words we will see Miccoli from the start in this game. Their point reduction has made this fixture more or less a must win game for Siena. Palermo have scored one goal in their four away games and sure enough, you can almost always oppose Palermo in their away fixtures. Siena to win.

Torino - Parma 2.27 - 3.86

Hopefully for Torino, their best asset, the Italian international defender Ogbonna, will be back for this match. He could not play last week at Parma. Lucarelli and Benalouane will be available again for Parma, but Mirante and Galloppa are out of this fixture. Can a game be more difficult to predict than this one? The draw.