Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Serie A Prediction 31/10/12


Atalanta - Napoli 4.00 - 2.21

Both Cigarini and Peluso will be suspended for the home side. Brivio will most likely replace Peluso in their defence, but it is unclear who will come in for Cigarini in the midfield. Bellini, Carmona and Biondini are all available again. Down to ten men in the second half Atalanta managed to keep Pescara from scoring at the weekend (0-0). There is nothing great abut this Atalanta side but they are almost always doing a decent job. Well, not against Torino, not so long ago (1-5 home loss).
Napoli hope to have Cavani back tomorrow, but there is no guarantee. He did not play against Chievo the other day and it showed. Zuniga will miss this fixture, but Britos is back in their squad. No Cavani for Napoli and Atalanta may get their draw. X2 game.

Cagliari - Siena 2.10 - 4.90

The new Cagliari coach has won three games on the trot with his team. He is a defensive coach and Cagliari keep on winning their matches 1-0. Once again it looks like Cagliari will miss Pinilla, but their play maker Cossu is fit again.
Siena were terrible at home to Palermo, or they defended well. I say they were terrible and their coach praises their defence. Defending at home to Palermo, give me a break! Rosina and Campagnolo are not included in their squad, but Felipe is. Backing the home win.

Chievo - Pescara 1.80 - 5.50

Decent Chievo effort against Napoli and as they are facing this rather hopeless Pescara side in Verona there is every chance that this fixture will end with a home win. These sides are on the same points but I hold Chievo as the much better side. Vacek will be suspended for the home side. Blasi will return to the Pescara squad, but they are still missing Jonathas, Terlizzi and Crescenzi.
The game was there to be taken for Pescara at home to Atalanta. Pescara had been the stronger side in the first half and when Atalanta instantly were down to ten men in the second half I expected the home side to decide the match. They were poor, again I must say.
The home win!

Genoa - Fiorentina 3.46 - 2.40

Fiorentina, winless away from home, as the favourites? It does not look right. Pizarro will be back in the Fiorentina midfield for this game and Roncaglia will also return.
Genoa are still missing among others Borriello and Rossi, but defender Canini will be back for this match and Jankovic should be fit to play.
Delneri suffered a defeat in his first game as the Genoa coach and his offensive options are a bit limited with Borriello out of action. Immobile possibly backed up by Jorquera in their front line.
Fiorentina have not been too enterprising in their away games this far and in my mind there are three possible results on Thursday. 0-0, 0-1 or 1-1.

Inter - Sampdoria 1.57 - 8.15

Inter are the away champions in Serie A, having won all their five away fixtures. The Inter overall form is excellent and they must be expected to win this match. Juan Jesus, one of their best players against Bologna, will be suspended tomorrow.
Sampdoria are on a negative run with four losses on the bounce. They will have players back for this game. Romero, Munari and Da Costa will be back in contention along with Castellini. Hopefully also Obiang, but Maresca and Pozzi will be missing and leading striker Maxi Lopez is also in danger of miss out tomorrow. Likely home win, but the odds you can do without.

Juventus - Bologna 1.27 - 16.02

What a disastrous weekend for referees both here and there. Biggest mistake was made by a linesman when Catania scored a legitimate goal against Juventus. The scorer was on side with a meter and the poor fellow blew for offside. It is almost Juventus in the mix. Last season Milan scored a second goal against Juventus, it was over the line with half a meter, but it was disallowed.
Juventus were better than Catania, but Catania in the 1-0 lead are an altogether different side playing the counter attacking game to perfection. The home side will be without the suspended Vidal with Pogba his replacement. Caceres will probably come in for Lichtsteiner.
Bologna, dropping steadily in the table, will miss their important play maker Diamanti. What more to say. Home win of course.

Lazio - Torino 1.79 - 5.65

Another side treated badly by the officials was this Lazio side. They scored a perfect goal against Fiorentina, but it was offside according to the referee. Several of the Lazio players lost their temper later on in Florens and both Hernanez and Ledesma were shown the red card. Hernanez, probably the best Lazio player this season, will of course be suspended tomorrow along with Ledesma, but his absence I can take. No Marchetti in their goal. Brocchi and/or Onazi could earn starting roles in the middle of the park.
Would you believe the newcomers Torino remain unbeaten on their travels (1-3-0). They will hopefully be able to call on Ogbonna again, but Sansone will definitely be missing due to a suspension. Sgrigna or Meggiorini will replace Sansone. Ogbonna is still touch and go. I prefer the home win alternative.

Parma - Roma 3.00 - 2.41

I would have Parma as favourites in this game. Donadoni’s side are unbeaten at home (2-2-0) and they won their first away game of the season at the weekend defeating Torino 3-1 after an impressive display.
There is no way to come to terms with Zeman’s Roma. In the lead 2-0 or down 0-2 in their matches, it does not seem to matter. Their young players, a couple playing rather poorly, will make mistakes, especially in their own box and Roma have to score at least three goals to win their matches. One of their worst players against Udinese, Tachtisidis, will be suspended for this game and Balzaretti risks missing also this match. Mirante will stand between the Parma sticks again. Home win, say 3-2.

Udinese - Catania 1.95 - 4.62

On another day Di Natale would have scored more goals against Roma. He missed some clear cut chances, but at the end of the day he won the match for Udinese. Defender Danilo will return from his suspension tomorrow and his colleague Basta could also be back. Benatia, Pasquale, Pinzi and Muriel remain on the sidelines.
I have already talked about the Catania bad luck and for this match they have to manage without the suspended duo Marchese and Legrottaglie. Bellusci will hopefully be fit joining Spolli in their central defence. I prefer the odds on the home win.

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