Betting trends

Bordeaux - Marseille 2.40 - 3.51

Backing Bordeaux. They are 4-2-0 in their home games and they have in fact only lost one league game this season. Last week they went to Lorient and returned home with a 4-0 win in their bag.
Marseille played two home games last week vs. Borussia M. and Nice and both the matches ended in 2-2 draws, with Marseille conceding late equalisers in both games. Marseille have offensive worries ahead of this top game as their three central forwards Gignac, L Remy and J Ayew are all out of this fixture. Quite possible that they will play without a forward starting with their midfielder A Ayew in a frontal position, 19 year old Omrani is another option.
Marseille have not won this fixture for some 35 years and it will tough for them also this season. Bordeaux to win.

Fulham - Sunderland 1.79 - 5.20

It was odd watching Fulham against Arsenal thinking for myself that Fulham were playing the better, the more entertaining football. D Duff was kept on the bench for most of the game and K Richardson suffered an injury and he will be missing for a while. C Baird will be suspended this weekend.
Strong first half display from Sunderland away to Everton and for once their hard work was rewarded with a goal. It was not enough to win the match, with Everton hitting back late on in the game, but one has to say that Sunderland offered an improved performance. Sessegnon missed a great chance, but so far it does not seem to work for the Frenchman. No C Gardner for Sunderland and they risk being without L Cattermole and P Bardsley again. Front man S Fletcher is a doubt. I have nothing negative to say about Fulham. I just think the home win is hugely underpriced. Quite unbackable.

West Ham - Stoke 2.10 - 4.12

A bit weakened defensively West Ham had no major problems preventing the Newcastle strikers from scoring against them. Will they be as effective stopping P Crouch? Well Crouch and his Stoke have been surprisingly quiet this season and although they defeated QPR 1-0 they were far from convincing. Coach Pulis had changed his formation, but according to unanimous reports QPR were the better side at the Britannia Stadium. Pulis will easily accept that verdict, as Stoke got their all important three points.
West Ham, mostly convincing this season, up against a Stoke side less impressive than last season and one has to say that the home win alternative looks much more attractive.
West Ham have quite a few injury concerns, as M Jarvis, Benayoun and G McCartney all had to leave the match with injuries last week. M Maiga, O’Neil and G Demel did just fine replacing the trio. It looks worst for McCartney at this moment. J Collins will probably be back in the home defence. Stoke miss the suspended D Whitehead. I would pick the home win.

Bologna - Palermo 2.30 - 3.51

Seems like Bologna are almost always in with a chance in their games, but they go on losing them by the odd goal. They are very much in the drop zone and they absolutely have to defeat Palermo, usually very poor travellers. Will they do it? Well, Palermo are feeling much better at the moment after their incredibly important win against Sampdoria. A new Palermo star was born and his name is Dybala. Miccoli will probably have to wait till next week for his come back.
Diamanti, Gabbiadini and Gilardino will play from the start in the Bologna front line in this must win game. I like to think that Bologna will edge this one.

Catania - Chievo 1.95 - 4.78

Backing the Sicilians. Chievo are 0-0-5 away from home and as you know by now I almost always back Catania down in Sicily.
Bergessio will most likely be back for Catania, but he will probably start on the bench. Doukara could start again. Almiron will be fit to play.
Chievo miss the suspended L Rigoni and the injured duo Papp and Frey. Cesar will be OK. Catania to win.

Fiorentina - Atalanta 1.62 - 7.00

Fantastic season for Fiorentina and by now it is obvious that “ the little Aeroplane”, Montella is a very talented coach. First Catania last season and now his work with Fiorentina. Jovetic will probably be missing also this weekend and Toni will be joined by Ljajic or El Hamdaoui upfront.
Parra and Peluso will be suspended for Atalanta, a team playing their season best football. Brivio will com in for Peluso. So Fiorentina (5-1-0) should probably win this match, but the odds on the home win are too short, at least in my opinion.

Inter - Cagliari 1.60 - 6.96

I underestimated the Inter defensive shortcomings away to Atalanta. Missing both Samuel and Ranocchia proved crucial, as for example Silvestre endured a terrible evening. Same again, or their coach will change his formation, but still no Samuel or Ranocchia. Now also Guarin will miss this match and he has been in great form lately.
The Cagliari – Catania fixture was a drab affair and I have nothing really positive to say about the Cagliari display in that game. Squad wise Cagliari look very much OK, with only their defender Ariaudo once again a major doubt. Home win for Inter, I guess.

Roma - Torino 1.63 - 5.70

De Rossi, Burdisso and Tachtsidis will all be suspended for the home side, De Rossi is doing nothing very good for his Roma these days. I would off load him and get some fantastic money in the process.
Do not underestimate Torino in their away fixtures. They remain unbeaten with 1-5-0 this far. Why, oh why should Roma be 1.63 favourites in this game? Important Torino defender Ogbonna is expected back for this game. I usually say there will be four or five goals whenever Roma are involved, but maybe not on Sunday. Only three- four this time.

Sampdoria - Genoa 2.49 - 3.34

The big derby of the weekend, but unfortunately both clubs are more or less in dire straits at the moment, or worse than that, if it is possible. The Sampdoria coach must be hanging on the ropes after an endless winless run and Delneri, the new Genoa coach, has been defeated in all his four games for Genoa.
Good news for Genoa as both their key players Borriello and Rossi will be back for this game and at least Borriello will play from the start. Still no Maxi Lopez for Sampdoria, no Eder either, but Poli and Krsticic will be available again. I prefer the away win alternative.

Siena - Pescara 1.80 - 5.50

I cannot do much to change the odds, but surely this match should end in a home win for Siena. Both Rosina and Rodriguez will be back in contention for this game. They were both missing at the weekend when Siena were happy drawing 0-0 at Parma. Paci will definitely be missing.
Pescara conceded six goals in their home fixture against Juventus and how do you recover from this, their most recent set back? Well facts remain and Pescara are on the right side of the relegation zone, while Siena are very much down there (They have been deducted six points).
Pescara probably have to manage without their leading scorer in Serie A, Weiss, joining Terlizzi, Blasi and Colucci on the sidelines. Vukusic or Jonathas will play alongside Abbruscato in their front line. Very likely home win.

Udinese - Parma 2.21 - 3.75

Udinese are not winning too many games this season, with 3-6-3 after twelve league games. Parma have won a third of their twelve matches and the draw in this match is always very likely. Add Lazzari to the Udinese injury list and their defender Danilo will be suspended for this game.
No Biabiany for Parma due to a suspension, but Valdes will be available. One of Pabon, Sansone or Belfodil will come in for Biabiany upfront together with Amauri. 1X game.